Understanding Uncertainty / Edition 2

"...a reference for everyone who is interested in knowing and handling uncertainty." The critically acclaimed of provided a study of uncertainty addressed to scholars in all fields, showing that uncertainty could be measured by probability, and that probability obeyed three basic rules that enabled uncertainty to be handled sensibly in everyday life. These ideas were extended to embrace the scientific method and to show how decisions, containing an uncertain element, could be rationally made. Featuring new material, the remains the go-to guide for uncertainty and decision making, providing further applications at an accessible level including: is ideal for students studying probability or statistics and for anyone interested in one of the most fascinating and vibrant fields of study in contemporary science and mathematics.